The Probability of Winning the Lottery – Is It Easy to Win?

Everyone loves watching the lottery and all those huge wins roll in. But, have you ever wondered how likely it is to hit the big numbers? There are people who play the lotto all their lives and have never won anything except for smaller prizes. The reality is that the probability of winning big in the lottery is low. Luckily, though, there are some tips that may slightly better your odds.

Even so, the fact remains that the yearly risk of getting struck by lightning is greater than the average Powerball player's chance of winning the jackpot. International lottery jackpots often reach hundreds or even thousands of crores, and you can’t expect that the lottery organizer will just let players waltz in and take it. In this article, we’ll talk more about the probability of winning the lottery and see how easy—or how hard—it is.

What Are the Odds of Winning the Jackpot?

When you’re feeling lucky, you’ll have many people advise you to play the lottery. No matter the game you choose, the odds will be long and the potential reward insane. Lotteries have been played for decades in almost every country in the world, dazzling players with huge winning potential. However, many players are against playing the lotto, as they believe that the odds of hitting a jackpot are almost non-existent.

They’re almost right. While you still have a shot at winning big in the lottery, it’s a very small one. Let’s put things into perspective over how unlikely it is to win a lottery jackpot compared to other, more tragic events:

  • 1 in 57,825 risk to die from a bee sting in your lifetime.
  • 1 in 35,074 risk to die during a cataclysmic event like a storm.
  • 1 in 1,222,000 risk of getting hit by lightning (in a year).

While the above odds should taken with a grain of salt, the probability of winning big in the online lottery is in the lightning-strike ballpark. Below we’ll share a few odds for some of the biggest lotteries in the world.


Everyone’s heard of the US Powerball whose jackpot has managed to set a world record by reaching over $2 billion. It’s one of the most impressive lotteries around the world which regularly pays out life-changing amounts. Conversely, your chances to hit the jackpot are extremely low.

5 numbers + the Powerball1:292,201,338Jackpot (minimum of $20 million)
4 numbers + Powerball1:11,688,053$1 million
3 numbers + Powerball1:913,129$50,000

As you can see, the winning potential is huge, but the odds are long as well. You’d need to buy thousands of US Powerball tickets to get a fair chance, and it would still be all but out of your reach.

UK Lotto

Lotteries and bingo games are quite popular in the UK. While its jackpot tiers don’t reach the Powerball, the biggest prizes in the UK Lotto are still respectable with at least £2 million per draw. That’s the jackpot with the longest odds, which are significantly shorter compared to the US Powerball.

6 numbers1:45,057,474£2 million
5 numbers + bonus ball1:7,509,579£1 million

Compared to the US Powerball, the UK Lotto offers pretty good odds for a life-changing win. The chances of hitting the jackpot are still long, but it’s not nearly as hard to win as the Powerball.


The most popular lottery in Europe has a fantastic prize for the jackpot. It’s worth at least €17 million and often reaches a lot higher. But the odds to hit the jackpot are a long shot. This isn’t to say that you can’t win it as this list of anonymous winners shows that people have done so time and time again.

5 numbers + 2 stars1:139,838,160Jackpot (minimum of €17 million)
5 numbers + 1 star1:6,991,908€400,000.00 (on average)

The odds are significantly cut down compared to the US’ biggest lotteries, but still far out of reach for most players. With a few tips we’ll share further below, though, you might have a shot.

Mega Millions

Mega Millions is the second super lotto in the USA and a direct competitor to the Powerball. Chances to hit the jackpot are even longer than the Powerball, while top payouts are more or less the same. The record jackpot in Mega Millions stands at a whopping $1.6 billion!

5 numbers + Mega Ball1:302,575,350Jackpot (minimum of $20 million)
5 numbers1:12,607,306$1 million

While the jackpot odds are the longest among lotteries, a lucky player will still win it from time to time, going to great lengths to keep their identity hidden.


The EuroJackpot is the second most popular lottery in Europe. Its major prize is at least €10 million which is respectable, although lower than that of EuroMillions. The odds of hitting the jackpot are the same though.

5 numbers + 2 Euro numbers1:139,838,160Jackpot (minimum of €10 million)
5 numbers + 1 Euro number1:6,991,908€450,000.00 (on average)

How to Increase Your Chances to Win the Lottery

Is it even possible to raise your chances of winning the lottery? Logic says there isn’t, since the whole thing is luck-based. There’s no skill involved in the lottery. That’s why it’s a huge draw, as even beginners have a shot at the jackpot. However, there are some keys to winning the lottery.

The math says that by buying more tickets, your chances of hitting the jackpot will increase. Of course, if you’re chasing the US Powerball or the Mega Millions jackpot, you will need not one extra ticket, but thousands of tickets in order to slightly improve your odds.

Another, perhaps even better way to increase your chances of winning is to play the lottery in a syndicate. This is a group-play option where a group of people buys tickets together and then they share any winnings proportionally to the tickets they contributed with.

Of course, in syndicates, you would only get a share of the jackpot and not the full prize, but you could also heavily increase your chances of hitting without having to buy more tickets.

If you’re wondering why the biggest lotteries don’t drop often, it’s because of the games' designs. The odds are kept high on purpose to make things more exciting. No one would play lotteries if they only offered small prizes. The life-changing amounts are a huge draw for players, and that’s what makes lotteries so exciting to play, even if winning is unlikely.

But you know what they say – never say never!

With 8 years of professional work experience, Mattias Fröbrant is a recognized expert in the field of lottery and online gambling. As a meticulous reviewer of over 300 gambling sites in India, he has garnered industry recognition for his exceptional attention to detail and fact-checking prowess.
Having previously worked with prominent industry giants like Betsson Group, Mattias brings a wealth of expertise to the table. His deep understanding of Indian gambling platforms and online lotteries sets him apart as a trusted source of information.
At OnlineLottoBaba, Mattias’s mission is to simplify the online lottery experience for readers and to guide them to the best and safest lottery sites in India. Through thoroughly researched content, he provides valuable insights to enhance readers’ online lottery journey.
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